Project Title/ID Number | Casualty and Injury Modeling—1272003 |
Start/End Dates | 10/1/03—9/30/04 |
Project Leader | Kimberly Shoaf (UCLA/F) |
Team Members | Hope Seligson (ABS Consulting/I) |
F=faculty; GS=graduate student; US=undergraduate student; PD=post-doc; I=industrial collaborator; O=other
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The objective of this project is to provide mortality and morbidity (death and injury) rates for non-ductile concrete frame structures for a minimum of three damage states.
The PEER performance-based engineering methodology is dependent upon developing appropriate models for all of the parameters in the model. This project is designed to produce scientifically sound estimates of the decision-variable that is often cited as that most important to stakeholders, deaths and injuries. Furthermore, the project will provide a methodology to develop further estimates of this variable for other construction-types and damage states, given other appropriate datasets.
This project utilizes a population-based survey database from the City of Golcuk. The project team will develop appropriate damage states in conjunction with PEER engineers. Injury and mortality estimates will be established for each of these damage states.
In year 6, the project team developed the methodology for estimating fatality rates in complete and partial-collapse. This methodology will be utilized in year 7 to further estimate fatalities in non-collapse and to estimate injuries in various damage states.
Other analyses of injury and building damage data sets (including the Turkey dataset) is being conducted under other funding. These other analyses are epidemiologic in nature and while instructive for the engineering models, will not lead to such models.